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Prediction markets
42 active markets
· category “AI”
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How to trade
Claude 4.8 released by...?
May 31
99%
June 15
99%
2 more
$680K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
59 trading now
GPT-5.6 released by...?
July 31
99%
July 10
99%
5 more
$3.73M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
61 trading now
GPT-5.6 released on...?
July 9
96%
July 8
1%
37 more
$870K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Largest Company end of July?
NVIDIA
80%
Company D
50%
27 more
$1.22M
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
63 trading now
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?
1490+
99%
1480+
99%
2 more
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?
1450+
98%
1460+
92%
5 more
$138K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA
64%
Apple
17%
26 more
$4.04M
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
61 trading now
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?
1480+
1%
1440+
1%
1 more
$65K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
40 trading now
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?
1470+
1%
1480+
1%
2 more
$25K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
38 trading now
Will Claude go down on __ days in July?
6-8
59%
9-11
18%
3 more
$25K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
47 trading now
2nd Largest Company end of July?
Company A
50%
Company G
50%
27 more
$126K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
57 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
41%
OpenAI
29%
12 more
$61K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$62
42 trading now
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