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Prediction markets

10 active markets · category “Science”

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Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31
October 3161%
August 30
August 3056%2 more
$1.4KVol. Jan 1science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

0
47%YesNo
1
32%YesNo
$3.1KVol. Jul 12science
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 6 - July 12?

≤8
55%YesNo
9
10%YesNo
$3.9KVol. Jul 12science
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman86%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang77%9 more
$566KVol. Jul 30science
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.20–1.24ºC37%
1.25–1.29ºC35%4 more
$1.9KVol. Aug 1science
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

3rd hottest
3rd hottest48%
1st hottest
1st hottest46%2 more
$315.35Vol. Jul 31science
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

12%

chance

YesNo
$576KVol. Dec 31science
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

78%

chance

YesNo
$420.01Vol. Dec 31science
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

chance

YesNo
$116KVol. Mar 31science
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

<10037%
100–12930%7 more
$900.01Vol. Aug 1science